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Red262
64999.5
347689.0
392575.3
Blue311
1323122.9
11487.1
3309117.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304298150200250350400262311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#12
99.53.1
105.9102.8
Auto11.8
Teleop46.8
End40.8
blue by 23.4
122.91.5
91.993.4
Auto24.3
Teleop54.2
End44.5
Second
3476
#34
89.03.1
91.488.3
Auto9.6
Teleop45.1
End34.2
blue by 28.4
3309
#11
117.41.5
109.8111.3
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
Third
3925
#39
75.33.1
86.183.0
Auto6.4
Teleop43.5
End25.4
blue by 11.8
114
#24
87.11.5
86.387.9
Auto7.5
Teleop38.2
End41.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed62%Pressure oddsEarned