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Red395
445694.9
379398.2
111199.3
Blue312
623101.3
346106.1
1262101.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324331200250300350400450500395312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#23
99.30.1
101.9101.8
Auto11.7
Teleop50.1
End37.5
blue by 6.8
346
#11
106.10.0
107.2107.2
Auto9.8
Teleop50.1
End46.2
Second
98.20.1
100.9100.7
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End34.8
blue by 3.7
1262
#17
101.90.0
103.1103.1
Auto9.4
Teleop44.8
End47.8
Third
4456
#12
94.90.1
97.697.5
Auto4.3
Teleop49.1
End41.5
blue by 6.4
623
#37
101.30.0
102.4102.4
Auto14.9
Teleop46.1
End40.3