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Red255
445694.9
379398.2
111199.3
Blue445
2363119.3
1885110.8
44983.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322343150200250300400450500255445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#23
99.31.0
101.9100.9
Auto11.7
Teleop50.1
End37.5
blue by 20.0
119.30.6
121.3121.9
Auto13.8
Teleop50.6
End54.9
Second
98.21.0
100.999.9
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End34.8
blue by 12.6
110.80.6
112.9113.5
Auto13.4
Teleop54.2
End43.2
Third
4456
#12
94.91.0
97.696.6
Auto4.3
Teleop49.1
End41.5
red by 11.6
449
#52
83.30.6
85.486.0
Auto10.6
Teleop38.9
End33.9