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Red478
371997.5
1986167.1
3310137.7
Blue494
254160.0
2767120.2
1676120.0
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512509200300400600700800478494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
167.10.6
167.3166.7
Auto43.3
Teleop64.6
End59.2
red by 7.1
254
Unranked
160.00.6
160.1159.5
Auto33.8
Teleop71.6
End54.5
Second
3310
Unranked
137.70.6
137.9137.3
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
red by 17.5
2767
Unranked
120.20.6
120.3119.7
Auto21.7
Teleop62.9
End35.6
Third
3719
Unranked
97.50.6
97.697.1
Auto8.1
Teleop54.7
End34.6
blue by 22.5
1676
Unranked
120.00.6
120.1119.5
Auto15.4
Teleop58.0
End46.6