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Red543
371997.5
1986167.1
3310137.7
Blue546
254160.0
2767120.2
1676120.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508509440460480500520540560580543546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
167.10.4
166.7167.1
Auto43.3
Teleop64.6
End59.2
red by 7.1
254
Unranked
160.00.5
159.5160.0
Auto33.8
Teleop71.6
End54.5
Second
3310
Unranked
137.70.4
137.3137.7
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
red by 17.5
2767
Unranked
120.20.5
119.7120.2
Auto21.7
Teleop62.9
End35.6
Third
3719
Unranked
97.50.4
97.197.5
Auto8.1
Teleop54.7
End34.6
blue by 22.5
1676
Unranked
120.00.5
119.5120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop58.0
End46.6