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Red454
67118.7
1058122.1
213793.8
Blue468
3683108.8
3452125.4
2084102.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429471100200300600700800454468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
122.10.3
123.6123.9
Auto13.7
Teleop63.5
End44.8
blue by 3.3
3452
Unranked
125.40.4
129.2129.6
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End53.6
Second
67
Unranked
118.70.3
120.9121.2
Auto14.9
Teleop55.3
End48.5
red by 9.9
3683
Unranked
108.80.4
112.6113.1
Auto13.4
Teleop57.3
End38.1
Third
2137
Unranked
93.80.3
95.395.6
Auto13.0
Teleop42.6
End38.3
blue by 8.8
2084
Unranked
102.60.4
106.4106.8
Auto9.7
Teleop52.5
End40.3