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Red536
1796115.3
125137.8
5687125.3
Blue511
3310137.7
1986167.1
371997.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions510518440460480500540560580600536511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
137.80.8
138.9139.7
Auto33.8
Teleop52.8
End51.2
blue by 29.3
1986
Unranked
167.10.4
169.0168.6
Auto43.3
Teleop64.6
End59.2
Second
5687
Unranked
125.30.8
126.4127.1
Auto12.7
Teleop65.0
End47.6
blue by 12.4
3310
Unranked
137.70.4
139.6139.2
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
Third
1796
Unranked
115.30.8
116.4117.2
Auto13.0
Teleop61.0
End41.3
red by 17.9
3719
Unranked
97.50.4
99.499.0
Auto8.1
Teleop54.7
End34.6