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Red506
1241123.3
384104.4
2056151.6
Blue535
254160.0
2767120.2
862118.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504506440460480520540560506535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
151.60.0
154.5154.4
Auto33.4
Teleop70.3
End47.9
blue by 8.4
254
Unranked
160.00.3
160.9161.1
Auto33.8
Teleop71.6
End54.5
Second
1241
Unranked
123.30.0
126.2126.2
Auto14.5
Teleop57.6
End51.2
red by 3.1
2767
Unranked
120.20.3
121.0121.3
Auto21.7
Teleop62.9
End35.6
Third
384
Unranked
104.40.0
107.3107.2
Auto11.7
Teleop54.6
End38.0
blue by 13.9
862
Unranked
118.30.3
119.9120.1
Auto14.7
Teleop52.7
End50.9