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Red542
1676120.0
2767120.2
254160.0
Blue500
5687125.3
125137.8
1796115.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506508460480500520540542500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
160.00.5
159.3159.8
Auto33.8
Teleop71.6
End54.5
red by 22.2
125
Unranked
137.80.0
137.9137.9
Auto33.8
Teleop52.8
End51.2
Second
2767
Unranked
120.20.5
119.5120.0
Auto21.7
Teleop62.9
End35.6
blue by 5.1
5687
Unranked
125.30.0
125.4125.4
Auto12.7
Teleop65.0
End47.6
Third
1676
Unranked
120.00.5
119.3119.8
Auto15.4
Teleop58.0
End46.6
red by 4.7
1796
Unranked
115.30.0
115.5115.5
Auto13.0
Teleop61.0
End41.3