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Red354
2084102.6
3452125.4
3683108.8
Blue547
254160.0
2767120.2
862118.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions461504300350400550600650354547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
Unranked
125.42.2
129.6127.4
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End53.6
blue by 34.6
254
Unranked
160.00.5
161.1161.7
Auto33.8
Teleop71.6
End54.5
Second
3683
Unranked
108.82.2
113.1110.9
Auto13.4
Teleop57.3
End38.1
blue by 11.3
2767
Unranked
120.20.5
121.3121.9
Auto21.7
Teleop62.9
End35.6
Third
2084
Unranked
102.62.2
106.8104.6
Auto9.7
Teleop52.5
End40.3
blue by 15.7
862
Unranked
118.30.5
120.1120.7
Auto14.7
Teleop52.7
End50.9