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Red339
1796115.3
125137.8
5687125.3
Blue430
2056151.6
384104.4
1241123.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513513350400450500339430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
137.81.6
139.7138.1
Auto33.8
Teleop52.8
End51.2
blue by 13.8
2056
Unranked
151.61.3
154.4153.1
Auto33.4
Teleop70.3
End47.9
Second
5687
Unranked
125.31.6
127.1125.6
Auto12.7
Teleop65.0
End47.6
red by 2.0
1241
Unranked
123.31.3
126.2124.9
Auto14.5
Teleop57.6
End51.2
Third
1796
Unranked
115.31.6
117.2115.6
Auto13.0
Teleop61.0
End41.3
red by 11.0
384
Unranked
104.41.3
107.2105.9
Auto11.7
Teleop54.6
End38.0