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Red493
987146.0
2122136.8
491089.4
Blue374
2046124.6
1318102.5
1595103.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459380100200300500600700493374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
146.00.1
148.1148.0
Auto24.3
Teleop61.1
End60.5
red by 21.4
2046
Unranked
124.62.1
129.1127.0
Auto14.6
Teleop58.0
End52.0
Second
2122
Unranked
136.80.1
139.0138.8
Auto34.1
Teleop54.4
End48.3
red by 33.5
1595
Unranked
103.32.1
105.8103.7
Auto15.3
Teleop49.1
End38.9
Third
4910
Unranked
89.40.1
91.591.4
Auto7.6
Teleop46.3
End35.5
blue by 13.1
1318
Unranked
102.52.1
107.0104.9
Auto14.8
Teleop49.7
End38.0