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Red470
263090.1
5654113.1
2415110.6
Blue511
973141.8
5499103.1
1011110.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3313990100200500600700800470511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
Unranked
113.10.8
111.8112.6
Auto12.7
Teleop46.6
End53.8
blue by 28.8
973
Unranked
141.81.0
138.1139.1
Auto29.6
Teleop60.3
End52.0
Second
2415
Unranked
110.60.8
109.3110.1
Auto10.8
Teleop56.2
End43.5
blue by 0.3
1011
Unranked
110.81.0
107.1108.2
Auto12.2
Teleop58.7
End39.9
Third
2630
Unranked
90.10.8
88.889.6
Auto7.2
Teleop47.5
End35.4
blue by 13.0
5499
Unranked
103.11.0
100.4101.4
Auto12.3
Teleop55.2
End35.5