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Red351
987146.0
491089.4
2122136.8
Blue445
2848119.0
290380.2
604118.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456376200300500600700351445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
146.01.7
147.3145.6
Auto24.3
Teleop61.1
End60.5
red by 27.0
2848
Unranked
119.00.7
117.8118.5
Auto14.6
Teleop57.2
End47.2
Second
2122
Unranked
136.81.7
138.2136.5
Auto34.1
Teleop54.4
End48.3
red by 18.0
604
Unranked
118.80.7
117.6118.3
Auto10.6
Teleop56.9
End51.3
Third
4910
Unranked
89.41.7
90.789.1
Auto7.6
Teleop46.3
End35.5
red by 9.1
2903
Unranked
80.20.7
79.079.7
Auto6.6
Teleop47.0
End26.7