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Red454
4188108.0
1678146.1
118146.4
Blue470
2415110.6
5654113.1
263090.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484317100200400600700454470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
146.41.9
150.1148.2
Auto31.4
Teleop68.5
End46.5
red by 33.3
5654
Unranked
113.10.8
111.5112.3
Auto12.7
Teleop46.6
End53.8
Second
1678
Unranked
146.11.9
149.8147.8
Auto28.5
Teleop63.4
End54.1
red by 35.5
2415
Unranked
110.60.8
109.0109.8
Auto10.8
Teleop56.2
End43.5
Third
4188
Unranked
108.01.9
111.7109.7
Auto9.0
Teleop53.8
End45.1
red by 17.9
2630
Unranked
90.10.8
88.589.3
Auto7.2
Teleop47.5
End35.4