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Red505
987146.0
491089.4
2122136.8
Blue445
2415110.6
5654113.1
263090.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4593230100200400500600700505445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
146.00.3
145.6146.0
Auto24.3
Teleop61.1
End60.5
red by 32.9
5654
Unranked
113.10.7
112.3113.1
Auto12.7
Teleop46.6
End53.8
Second
2122
Unranked
136.80.3
136.5136.8
Auto34.1
Teleop54.4
End48.3
red by 26.3
2415
Unranked
110.60.7
109.8110.6
Auto10.8
Teleop56.2
End43.5
Third
4910
Unranked
89.40.3
89.189.4
Auto7.6
Teleop46.3
End35.5
blue by 0.7
2630
Unranked
90.10.7
89.390.1
Auto7.2
Teleop47.5
End35.4