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Red561
987146.0
2122136.8
491089.4
Blue512
973141.8
5499103.1
1011110.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458382100200300500600700561512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
146.00.3
148.0148.3
Auto24.3
Teleop61.1
End60.5
red by 4.1
973
Unranked
141.81.0
139.1140.1
Auto29.6
Teleop60.3
End52.0
Second
2122
Unranked
136.80.3
138.8139.1
Auto34.1
Teleop54.4
End48.3
red by 26.0
1011
Unranked
110.81.0
108.2109.1
Auto12.2
Teleop58.7
End39.9
Third
4910
Unranked
89.40.3
91.491.7
Auto7.6
Teleop46.3
End35.5
blue by 13.7
5499
Unranked
103.11.0
101.4102.3
Auto12.3
Teleop55.2
End35.5