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Red320
1595103.3
1318102.5
2046124.6
Blue531
118146.4
1678146.1
4188108.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369477100200300400600700320531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
Unranked
124.60.3
127.0126.7
Auto14.6
Teleop58.0
End52.0
blue by 21.8
118
Unranked
146.40.0
150.4150.3
Auto31.4
Teleop68.5
End46.5
Second
1595
Unranked
103.30.3
103.7103.4
Auto15.3
Teleop49.1
End38.9
blue by 42.8
1678
Unranked
146.10.0
150.0150.0
Auto28.5
Teleop63.4
End54.1
Third
1318
Unranked
102.50.3
104.9104.6
Auto14.8
Teleop49.7
End38.0
blue by 5.5
4188
Unranked
108.00.0
111.9111.9
Auto9.0
Teleop53.8
End45.1