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Red351
364867.5
1619136.1
101190.7
Blue198
399103.6
438899.1
133990.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308324150200250350400450500351198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.10.3
136.0136.2
Auto28.3
Teleop56.6
End51.2
red by 32.6
399
#5
103.62.4
107.7105.3
Auto14.7
Teleop41.9
End46.9
Second
1011
#16
90.70.3
90.690.8
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
blue by 8.4
99.12.4
103.3100.9
Auto9.8
Teleop49.6
End39.7
Third
3648
#23
67.50.3
67.467.7
Auto6.5
Teleop35.8
End25.3
blue by 22.8
1339
#26
90.32.4
94.592.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.0
End42.2