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Red415
364867.5
1619136.1
101190.7
Blue218
399103.6
438899.1
133990.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311315250300350400415218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.10.1
136.2136.1
Auto28.3
Teleop56.6
End51.2
red by 32.6
399
#5
103.61.8
105.3103.6
Auto14.7
Teleop41.9
End46.9
Second
1011
#16
90.70.1
90.890.7
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
blue by 8.4
99.11.8
100.999.1
Auto9.8
Teleop49.6
End39.7
Third
3648
#23
67.50.1
67.767.5
Auto6.5
Teleop35.8
End25.3
blue by 22.8
1339
#26
90.31.8
92.190.3
Auto11.1
Teleop37.0
End42.2