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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Colorado Regional
Red341
364867.5
1619136.1
101190.7
Blue195
208376.7
565780.0
549363.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262190100300400500341195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
136.10.0
135.9→136.0
Auto28.3
Teleop56.6
End51.2
red by 56.1
5657
#9
80.00.7
80.7→80.0
Auto4.5
Teleop40.0
End35.5
Second
1011
#16
90.70.0
90.5→90.6
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
red by 14.0
2083
#18
76.70.7
77.4→76.7
Auto5.8
Teleop36.4
End34.5
Third
3648
#23
67.50.1
67.3→67.4
Auto6.5
Teleop35.8
End25.3
red by 4.2
5493
#22
63.30.6
63.9→63.3
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End24.4