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Red318
364867.5
1619136.1
101190.7
Blue216
418387.8
429381.4
320065.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222370100200400500318216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.10.1
135.9136.0
Auto28.3
Teleop56.6
End51.2
red by 48.4
4183
#13
87.80.5
88.287.8
Auto14.4
Teleop42.5
End30.9
Second
1011
#16
90.70.1
90.590.6
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
red by 9.3
81.40.5
81.981.4
Auto10.2
Teleop39.1
End32.1
Third
3648
#23
67.50.1
67.267.4
Auto6.5
Teleop35.8
End25.3
red by 1.8
3200
#29
65.70.5
66.265.7
Auto4.1
Teleop33.2
End28.4