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Qual 142017 Colorado Regional
Red160
299688.4
115743.2
372977.1
Blue255
449992.6
66296.1
429381.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212222100150250300350400160255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#27
88.43.5
81.1→77.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.4
End44.7
blue by 7.7
662
#8
96.13.4
98.4→101.8
Auto8.8
Teleop33.2
End54.1
Second
3729
#32
77.13.1
68.1→64.9
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End36.1
blue by 15.5
4499
#10
92.63.0
59.2→62.2
Auto12.9
Teleop43.7
End36.0
Third
1157
#47
43.24.7
53.3→48.6
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End13.8
blue by 38.2
4293
#4
81.43.4
51.7→55.1
Auto10.2
Teleop39.1
End32.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed