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Red200
224063.4
101190.7
124538.8
Blue90
328879.9
141070.8
158337.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19118610015020025020090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#16
90.71.5
84.285.7
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
red by 10.9
3288
#17
79.96.8
77.770.9
Auto10.9
Teleop36.1
End32.8
Second
2240
#11
63.42.6
47.750.3
Auto6.3
Teleop29.3
End27.9
blue by 7.4
1410
#34
70.86.8
60.553.8
Auto9.2
Teleop34.1
End27.6
Third
1245
#40
38.82.6
45.047.6
Auto10.3
Teleop24.7
End3.8
red by 0.9
1583
#44
37.910.1
43.032.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed