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Red305
639418.2
551588.4
636158.8
Blue215
906939.9
638640.0
637559.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801420100300400500600700305215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
Unranked
88.40.0
88.488.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.7
End39.9
red by 28.9
6375
Unranked
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
Second
6361
Unranked
58.80.0
58.858.8
Auto10.1
Teleop33.0
End15.7
red by 18.8
6386
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto5.7
Teleop26.9
End7.5
Third
6394
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.4
End0.6
blue by 21.7
9069
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8