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Red255
639418.2
551588.4
636158.8
Blue185
648735.3
545164.7
677139.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801420100300400500600255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
Unranked
88.40.0
88.488.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.7
End39.9
red by 23.7
5451
Unranked
64.70.0
64.764.7
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
Second
6361
Unranked
58.80.0
58.858.8
Auto10.1
Teleop33.0
End15.7
red by 18.9
6771
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Third
6394
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.4
End0.6
blue by 17.0
6487
Unranked
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto8.0
Teleop27.9
End-0.7