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Red474
346189.4
230117.4
99994.3
Blue330
18181.9
17793.7
314686.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342630100200300400500600474330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
117.41.0
118.9119.8
Auto19.4
Teleop53.6
End44.5
red by 23.8
177
#10
93.71.0
92.793.7
Auto12.0
Teleop40.8
End40.9
Second
999
#4
94.31.0
95.796.7
Auto9.4
Teleop52.0
End33.0
red by 7.8
3146
#20
86.61.0
85.586.6
Auto7.1
Teleop38.8
End40.6
Third
3461
#14
89.41.0
90.891.8
Auto9.7
Teleop39.6
End40.1
red by 7.6
181
#15
81.91.0
80.881.9
Auto8.8
Teleop38.5
End34.5