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Red285
217075.4
3464113.4
83980.4
Blue445
23695.6
542278.2
22892.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291270100200400500285445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.40.3
114.6114.9
Auto10.8
Teleop42.7
End59.9
red by 17.8
236
#21
95.61.9
93.295.2
Auto14.1
Teleop42.0
End39.5
Second
839
#6
80.40.3
81.781.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.1
End42.2
blue by 11.6
228
#16
92.01.9
89.791.6
Auto14.1
Teleop43.1
End34.8
Third
2170
#23
75.40.3
76.676.9
Auto9.8
Teleop34.1
End31.5
blue by 2.8
78.21.9
75.877.8
Auto10.8
Teleop34.8
End32.6