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Red135
495990.5
379241.5
198777.4
Blue95
181082.9
998932.6
171069.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230217010030040050013595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.55.5
81.475.9
Auto10.3
Teleop46.8
End33.4
red by 7.6
1810
#26
82.97.9
97.789.9
Auto5.3
Teleop38.3
End39.3
Second
1987
#23
77.45.5
103.397.8
Auto11.2
Teleop40.6
End25.6
red by 8.0
1710
#16
69.47.9
70.963.1
Auto8.4
Teleop34.7
End26.3
Third
3792
#10
41.56.1
32.626.5
Auto2.4
Teleop31.8
End7.4
red by 8.9
9989
#38
32.613.1
39.226.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed