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Red195
591853.6
64866.2
235756.8
Blue180
178541.1
1986134.4
512668.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1623200100200400500600195180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#20
66.21.4
74.375.7
Auto6.9
Teleop25.2
End34.1
blue by 68.2
1986
#11
134.48.6
162.3153.7
Auto35.4
Teleop51.2
End47.8
Second
2357
#27
56.81.7
42.944.6
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End26.3
blue by 11.3
5126
#50
68.08.6
82.473.7
Auto8.7
Teleop35.1
End24.2
Third
5918
#41
53.61.7
56.558.3
Auto4.3
Teleop27.2
End22.0
red by 12.5
1785
#49
41.18.6
39.631.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed78%Pressure oddsMissed