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Red230
5801105.9
445551.1
3284102.7
Blue156
180240.2
173094.6
180676.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282270100150200250300350400230156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.92.4
114.3111.9
Auto11.8
Teleop48.1
End45.9
red by 11.3
1730
#36
94.66.8
109.9103.1
Auto12.3
Teleop49.1
End33.1
Second
102.72.4
102.5100.1
Auto11.1
Teleop44.9
End46.7
red by 26.2
1806
#30
76.66.8
98.391.5
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End19.5
Third
4455
#25
51.12.9
49.346.4
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End21.7
red by 10.9
1802
#47
40.28.3
50.041.7
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed