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Red173
464665.7
200155.7
198465.5
Blue295
359374.8
2410101.2
1619123.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1983330100400500600700800173295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#39
65.72.2
80.478.2
Auto9.7
Teleop35.7
End20.3
blue by 57.9
123.60.3
123.1122.9
Auto24.0
Teleop57.9
End41.7
Second
65.52.6
69.066.3
Auto12.1
Teleop32.4
End20.9
blue by 35.8
101.20.3
98.898.5
Auto10.0
Teleop45.5
End45.7
Third
2001
#40
55.72.6
56.153.4
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End18.9
blue by 19.1
3593
#22
74.80.3
77.276.9
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End34.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed14%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed25%Pressure oddsEarned