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Red195
235756.8
580962.2
392884.3
Blue255
52594.3
379241.5
177777.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17921105001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000195255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#24
84.31.4
69.771.1
Auto8.7
Teleop41.0
End34.5
blue by 10.1
525
#4
94.33.9
86.690.5
Auto13.1
Teleop47.8
End33.4
Second
5809
#28
62.21.4
60.061.4
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End25.1
blue by 15.5
1777
#19
77.74.3
83.287.5
Auto4.6
Teleop34.2
End38.8
Third
2357
#27
56.81.5
44.646.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End26.3
red by 15.2
3792
#10
41.53.9
26.530.4
Auto2.4
Teleop31.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed