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Red215
596856.8
52594.3
512668.0
Blue235
511966.8
501374.0
171069.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224217150200250300215235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#4
94.30.5
93.393.8
Auto13.1
Teleop47.8
End33.4
red by 20.3
5013
#14
74.03.5
79.075.5
Auto10.9
Teleop38.9
End24.2
Second
5126
#50
68.00.5
71.071.5
Auto8.7
Teleop35.1
End24.2
blue by 1.4
1710
#16
69.43.5
67.263.7
Auto8.4
Teleop34.7
End26.3
Third
5968
#17
56.80.5
43.143.6
Auto5.1
Teleop23.4
End28.2
blue by 10.0
5119
#13
66.83.5
66.162.6
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed