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Red265
178541.1
176454.2
392884.3
Blue200
464665.7
110855.2
3284102.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1502490100200300400500600700265200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#24
84.35.6
80.686.3
Auto8.7
Teleop41.0
End34.5
blue by 18.5
102.71.6
99.898.2
Auto11.1
Teleop44.9
End46.7
Second
1764
#33
54.25.6
46.652.3
Auto0.9
Teleop21.9
End31.4
blue by 11.5
4646
#39
65.71.6
73.071.4
Auto9.7
Teleop35.7
End20.3
Third
1785
#49
41.15.6
28.133.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
blue by 14.1
1108
#32
55.21.6
51.449.7
Auto10.0
Teleop27.4
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed