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Red210
405560.7
206794.5
71672.6
Blue193
23077.7
206481.0
455770.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23524904006008001,0001,2001,400210193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.50.4
93.693.3
Auto6.7
Teleop38.1
End49.7
red by 13.5
81.01.4
82.881.4
Auto5.9
Teleop35.6
End39.5
Second
716
#5
72.60.4
71.671.2
Auto8.9
Teleop29.8
End34.0
blue by 5.1
230
#20
77.71.3
79.478.1
Auto8.4
Teleop38.5
End30.9
Third
4055
#23
60.70.4
59.959.5
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End31.2
blue by 10.1
4557
#13
70.81.3
72.471.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.0
End24.2