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Red300
405560.7
206794.5
71672.6
Blue310
365487.0
23686.4
18164.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342320100300400500600700800300310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.51.9
92.594.5
Auto6.7
Teleop38.1
End49.7
red by 7.5
3654
#16
87.02.4
81.083.4
Auto6.2
Teleop43.1
End37.7
Second
716
#5
72.62.3
70.372.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.8
End34.0
blue by 13.8
236
#3
86.42.2
81.083.2
Auto13.3
Teleop34.2
End38.9
Third
4055
#23
60.71.9
58.860.7
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End31.2
blue by 3.4
181
#29
64.12.4
58.160.5
Auto9.5
Teleop24.9
End29.8