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Red240
405560.7
206794.5
71672.6
Blue238
23077.7
206481.0
455770.8
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239237180200220260280300320240238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.50.2
92.993.1
Auto6.7
Teleop38.1
End49.7
red by 13.5
81.00.3
80.781.0
Auto5.9
Teleop35.6
End39.5
Second
716
#5
72.60.2
70.871.0
Auto8.9
Teleop29.8
End34.0
blue by 5.1
230
#20
77.70.2
77.577.7
Auto8.4
Teleop38.5
End30.9
Third
4055
#23
60.70.2
59.259.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End31.2
blue by 10.1
4557
#13
70.80.2
70.570.8
Auto8.6
Teleop38.0
End24.2