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Quarterfinal 4-12017 NE District - Waterbury Event
Red265
18164.1
23686.4
365487.0
Blue102
409755.6
512942.7
585643.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2291350100200300400500265102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#16
87.01.5
75.5→77.0
Auto6.2
Teleop43.1
End37.7
red by 31.4
4097
#17
55.61.1
55.1→54.1
Auto1.5
Teleop18.6
End35.5
Second
236
#3
86.41.4
76.0→77.4
Auto13.3
Teleop34.2
End38.9
red by 42.5
5856
#12
43.91.0
43.5→42.6
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End17.5
Third
181
#29
64.11.5
52.6→54.1
Auto9.5
Teleop24.9
End29.8
red by 21.4
5129
#8
42.71.0
42.3→41.4
Auto6.8
Teleop22.8
End13.1