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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Curie Division
Red429
203105.9
279193.8
2481133.0
Blue453
191895.4
494120.7
427296.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37443502006008001,000429453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#2
133.00.2
134.2→134.0
Auto26.7
Teleop56.9
End49.4
red by 12.3
494
#7
120.71.0
119.2→120.2
Auto16.6
Teleop60.1
End44.0
Second
203
#40
105.90.2
107.1→106.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
red by 9.2
4272
#21
96.81.0
95.6→96.6
Auto13.3
Teleop53.1
End30.4
Third
2791
#45
93.80.2
95.0→94.8
Auto11.2
Teleop51.6
End31.0
blue by 1.6
1918
#34
95.41.0
93.2→94.2
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End33.2