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Semifinal 2-32017 Curie Division
Red419
427296.8
309899.4
191895.4
Blue454
4946114.5
4917120.4
2169117.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393483200300600419454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#54
99.40.7
98.799.4
Auto13.3
Teleop52.7
End33.3
blue by 21.1
120.40.0
121.3121.3
Auto12.7
Teleop61.1
End46.6
Second
4272
#21
96.80.7
96.196.8
Auto13.3
Teleop53.1
End30.4
blue by 20.6
2169
#14
117.40.0
118.2118.2
Auto10.3
Teleop55.2
End51.9
Third
1918
#34
95.40.7
94.795.4
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End33.2
blue by 19.2
114.50.0
114.6114.6
Auto14.8
Teleop52.5
End47.3