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Red352
314286.6
71129.6
384107.3
Blue307
203105.9
470104.4
338691.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36432105001,0001,5002,0002,500352307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#8
129.60.8
128.3129.1
Auto13.5
Teleop55.4
End60.7
red by 23.7
203
#40Sur
105.90.3
111.3111.0
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
Second
384
#59Sur
107.30.8
117.1117.9
Auto13.4
Teleop55.0
End38.9
red by 2.9
470
#42
104.40.3
110.4110.1
Auto9.5
Teleop46.1
End48.8
Third
3142
#53
86.60.8
95.396.0
Auto8.6
Teleop46.1
End31.9
blue by 4.8
3386
#41
91.40.3
89.188.8
Auto9.2
Teleop37.9
End44.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
69%Rotor oddsEarned11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed