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Red263
191895.4
2252112.8
10191.1
Blue348
449101.4
279193.8
2410101.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31629302004006008001,000263348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#18Sur
112.82.3
114.8112.5
Auto17.8
Teleop45.3
End49.8
red by 11.4
449
#37Sur
101.44.5
85.890.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.1
End40.7
Second
1918
#34
95.42.3
106.7104.5
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End33.2
blue by 5.9
2410
#28
101.34.5
92.997.3
Auto7.3
Teleop48.6
End45.4
Third
101
#65
91.12.8
75.973.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.4
End47.3
blue by 2.7
2791
#45
93.84.5
102.4106.9
Auto11.2
Teleop51.6
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed