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Red305
4122105.5
5509116.5
201102.3
Blue349
2767121.0
910107.8
5436117.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335370100200300500600700800305349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#25
116.51.2
119.7118.5
Auto11.6
Teleop57.7
End47.2
blue by 4.6
121.00.2
122.2122.0
Auto22.2
Teleop62.7
End36.2
Second
4122
#59
105.51.2
105.5104.3
Auto12.0
Teleop39.1
End54.4
blue by 12.0
117.50.2
116.6116.4
Auto11.5
Teleop57.5
End48.5
Third
201
#61
102.31.2
97.496.2
Auto10.9
Teleop43.8
End47.6
blue by 5.5
910
#16
107.80.2
108.1107.9
Auto13.6
Teleop56.0
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
36%Rotor oddsMissed50%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed83%Pressure oddsEarned