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Red345
254160.9
244116.2
1262101.6
Blue375
3620111.2
6691.3
33398.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242870100200500600700345375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
160.92.7
167.2164.6
Auto34.3
Teleop71.4
End55.1
red by 49.6
3620
#37
111.23.6
108.2111.9
Auto14.7
Teleop59.0
End37.5
Second
244
#17
116.22.7
117.7115.0
Auto15.6
Teleop47.5
End53.0
red by 18.0
333
#50
98.23.6
95.499.0
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5
Third
1262
#47
101.62.7
99.997.3
Auto10.4
Teleop44.7
End46.5
red by 10.3
66
#46
91.33.6
86.790.4
Auto13.9
Teleop51.7
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed35%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
51%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed