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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Darwin Division
Red428
302104.0
1986169.0
3310139.6
Blue357
3928115.7
1506111.5
4391109.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512419100200300600700800428357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#1
169.02.6
171.9→169.3
Auto45.5
Teleop63.6
End59.9
red by 53.3
3928
#11
115.71.9
117.6→115.7
Auto10.4
Teleop51.1
End54.2
Second
3310
#2
139.62.6
142.5→139.9
Auto26.7
Teleop59.6
End53.3
red by 28.1
1506
#9
111.51.9
113.4→111.5
Auto14.8
Teleop48.0
End48.7
Third
302
#40
104.02.6
106.6→104.0
Auto13.0
Teleop47.6
End43.4
blue by 5.8
4391
#25
109.81.9
111.7→109.8
Auto15.9
Teleop55.7
End38.2