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Red534
371999.4
1986169.0
3310139.6
Blue445
1885132.8
5036106.4
229108.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533425200300500600700800534445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.1
169.4169.5
Auto45.5
Teleop63.6
End59.9
red by 36.2
132.80.1
132.9132.8
Auto14.2
Teleop59.3
End59.3
Second
139.60.1
140.0140.1
Auto26.7
Teleop59.6
End53.3
red by 30.7
229
#12
108.90.1
109.0108.9
Auto10.6
Teleop52.9
End45.5
Third
3719
#35
99.40.1
99.799.8
Auto10.3
Teleop53.7
End35.3
blue by 7.0
5036
#31
106.40.1
106.4106.4
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2