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Qual 102017 Darwin Division
Red263
83693.7
1305120.5
371999.4
Blue305
315784.5
349288.4
350494.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340256100200300400500263305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#4
120.53.3
95.9→92.7
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
red by 25.9
3504
#28
94.63.4
93.2→96.6
Auto10.1
Teleop45.8
End38.7
Second
3719
#35
99.43.3
111.8→108.5
Auto10.3
Teleop53.7
End35.3
red by 10.9
3492
#33
88.43.7
81.6→85.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.0
End36.3
Third
836
#52
93.73.3
104.2→101.0
Auto11.4
Teleop47.4
End34.9
red by 9.2
3157
#42
84.53.7
79.6→83.4
Auto9.3
Teleop40.1
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
31%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed