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Qual 112017 Darwin Division
Red331
415185.2
35985.5
131110.4
Blue250
48105.9
516296.1
327481.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294295220240260280320340360331250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#20
110.43.0
100.5→103.5
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End48.0
red by 4.6
48
#34
105.91.9
100.3→98.4
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9
Second
359
#45
85.53.0
101.2→104.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.4
End22.3
blue by 10.6
5162
#61
96.11.9
100.0→98.1
Auto7.7
Teleop43.0
End45.4
Third
4151
#65
85.23.0
79.5→82.5
Auto10.0
Teleop37.5
End37.7
red by 3.4
3274
#66
81.81.9
78.1→76.2
Auto6.5
Teleop37.5
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed