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Red256
379101.5
516699.2
332484.1
Blue349
349288.4
1114144.3
4391109.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823680100200500600700256349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#29
101.51.6
98.897.2
Auto15.5
Teleop46.4
End39.6
blue by 42.8
144.30.7
141.8142.5
Auto34.1
Teleop56.0
End54.2
Second
5166
#58
99.21.6
96.695.1
Auto11.9
Teleop42.9
End44.3
blue by 10.6
4391
#25
109.80.7
109.4110.1
Auto15.9
Teleop55.7
End38.2
Third
3324
#46
84.11.6
84.182.5
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End37.6
blue by 4.4
3492
#33
88.40.7
87.788.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.0
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed30%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed15%Pressure oddsEarned